Mike Berman’s Washington Watch

September 3, 2009 7:59 PM

President Obama

President Obama's overall job approval rating continues to edge downward in the NBC/WSJ survey. In addition to the 9-point drop in his approval rating, his disapproval rating has grown by 14 points. While the Washington Post/ABC survey in August reflected a higher approval number, 57%, than the NBC/WSJ survey, the disapproval number was the same at 40%. The drop from the WP/ABC February survey was 11 points. In the 8/25-27 Gallup survey his approval rating hit 50%.


NBC/WSJ NYT/CBS WP/ABC
Obama overall job approval
February 60/26% 62/15% 68/25%
April 61/30% 66/24% 69/26%
June 56/34% 63/26% 65/31%
July 53/40% -- 58/37%
August 51/40% -- 57/40%


Obama ranks 8th of 9 when his ratings are matched up with other modern President’s ratings at the same point (mid-August) in the first year after they were elected. (Gallup surveys):

Approve Disapprove
Eisenhower 74 14
Kennedy  76 12
G Bush (I) 75 16
Nixon 62 20
Carter 66 16
GW Bush (II) 57 34
Reagan 52 37
Obama 51 42
Clinton 44 47




As would be expected, Obama's approval on his handling of particular issues has also declined.

On the economy, he has dropped 4-6 points depending on the survey. On the contrary, when it comes to foreign policy, his approval rating has increased by a small amount.

On health care, his score has remained constant over the last several months, but approval is below 50%.

And finally, on the deficit, an issue of increasing interest to many Americans, he has dropped a dozen points since April.


NBC/WSJ NYT/CBS WP/ABC
Obama job approval on the economy
February 56/31% 55/24%
April 55/37% 56/34%
June 51/38% 57/35%
July 49/44% 51/41%
August -- -- 52/46%
Obama job approval on foreign policy
February -- 50/15%
April 56/31% 59/19%
June 54/36% 59/23%
July 57/33% 54/24%
Obama job approval on health care
June -- 44/34%
July 41/46% 46/38%
August 41/47% -- 46/50%
Obama job approval on Federal budget deficit
April 53/43%
June 48/48%
July 43/49%
August 41/53%




In February, 68% had positive feelings about Obama, while 19% had negative feelings. Very positive feelings, at 47%, were 4.7 times greater than very negative feelings at 10%.

By July, 55% had positive feelings and 34% had negative feelings. Very positive feelings, at 37%, were only 1.85 times greater than negative feelings at 20%. [NBC/WSJ 7/09]



There has been a diminution in Americans’ confidence in Obama's ability to make the right decisions for the country's future. In January and April 61% and 60% were confident in his ability, while 37% and 40% lacked confidence in his decisions. Now, only 49% are confident in his ability in this area and 50% lack confidence. Those who have no confidence at all in Obama's ability to make the right choices has grown from 9% to 24%. WP/ABC 8/09]

In July, 31% still believed that Obama would bring real change in direction of the country. This was down from 43% in February. [NBC/WSJ 7/09]



When it comes to Obama's campaign pledge to "change the way Washington works,” Americans are equally divided, 49% (yes) - 48% (no).

The President also appears to be losing ground on the question of whether the overall "tone and level of civility" in Washington has improved. While 52% thought the tone was improving in early May, as of early August the number was 42%. The number thinking that the tone had worsened grew from 24% to 35%.

No surprise, the younger a person is, the more likely he or she is to believe that the President and his Administration are creating a "new spirit of idealism."

Age
Yes No
18-29 years 71% 27%
30-49 years 60 38
50-64 years 56 42
65+ years 46 47
Gallup 9/09




There is one area in which confidence in Obama has grown spectacularly during these first months of his Administration...in foreign countries.

In a PEW survey of 21 countries, confidence in President Bush during the last year of his Administration was 21%. Confidence in Obama is at 71%.

Here are some examples of the changes in confidence. Only in Israel, among the 21 countries, is confidence lower in Obama than Bush, if only by 1 point.


Bush 2008 Obama 2009
Germany 14% 93%
France 13% 91%
Britain 16% 86%
Brazil 17% 76%
Argentina 7% 61%
Indonesia 23% 71%
Mexico 16% 55%
Nigeria 55% 88%
China 30% 62%
Kenya 72% 94%
Russia 22% 37%
Lebanon 33% 46%
Israel 57% 56%




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