September 3, 2009 7:59 PM
President Obama
President Obama's overall job approval rating continues to edge downward in the NBC/WSJ survey. In addition to the 9-point drop in his approval rating, his disapproval rating has grown by 14 points. While the Washington Post/ABC survey in August reflected a higher approval number, 57%, than the NBC/WSJ survey, the disapproval number was the same at 40%. The drop from the WP/ABC February survey was 11 points. In the 8/25-27 Gallup survey his approval rating hit 50%.NBC/WSJ | NYT/CBS | WP/ABC | |
Obama overall job approval | |||
February | 60/26% | 62/15% | 68/25% |
April | 61/30% | 66/24% | 69/26% |
June | 56/34% | 63/26% | 65/31% |
July | 53/40% | -- | 58/37% |
August | 51/40% | -- | 57/40% |
Obama ranks 8th of 9 when his ratings are matched up with other modern President’s ratings at the same point (mid-August) in the first year after they were elected. (Gallup surveys):
Approve | Disapprove | |
Eisenhower | 74 | 14 |
Kennedy | 76 | 12 |
G Bush (I) | 75 | 16 |
Nixon | 62 | 20 |
Carter | 66 | 16 |
GW Bush (II) | 57 | 34 |
Reagan | 52 | 37 |
Obama | 51 | 42 |
Clinton | 44 | 47 |
As would be expected, Obama's approval on his handling of particular issues has also declined.
On the economy, he has dropped 4-6 points depending on the survey. On the contrary, when it comes to foreign policy, his approval rating has increased by a small amount.
On health care, his score has remained constant over the last several months, but approval is below 50%.
And finally, on the deficit, an issue of increasing interest to many Americans, he has dropped a dozen points since April.
NBC/WSJ | NYT/CBS | WP/ABC | |
Obama job approval on the economy | |||
February | 56/31% | 55/24% | |
April | 55/37% | 56/34% | |
June | 51/38% | 57/35% | |
July | 49/44% | 51/41% | |
August | -- | -- | 52/46% |
Obama job approval on foreign policy | |||
February | -- | 50/15% | |
April | 56/31% | 59/19% | |
June | 54/36% | 59/23% | |
July | 57/33% | 54/24% | |
Obama job approval on health care | |||
June | -- | 44/34% | |
July | 41/46% | 46/38% | |
August | 41/47% | -- | 46/50% |
Obama job approval on Federal budget deficit | |||
April | 53/43% | ||
June | 48/48% | ||
July | 43/49% | ||
August | 41/53% |
In February, 68% had positive feelings about Obama, while 19% had negative feelings. Very positive feelings, at 47%, were 4.7 times greater than very negative feelings at 10%.
By July, 55% had positive feelings and 34% had negative feelings. Very positive feelings, at 37%, were only 1.85 times greater than negative feelings at 20%. [NBC/WSJ 7/09]
There has been a diminution in Americans’ confidence in Obama's ability to make the right decisions for the country's future. In January and April 61% and 60% were confident in his ability, while 37% and 40% lacked confidence in his decisions. Now, only 49% are confident in his ability in this area and 50% lack confidence. Those who have no confidence at all in Obama's ability to make the right choices has grown from 9% to 24%. WP/ABC 8/09]
In July, 31% still believed that Obama would bring real change in direction of the country. This was down from 43% in February. [NBC/WSJ 7/09]
When it comes to Obama's campaign pledge to "change the way Washington works,” Americans are equally divided, 49% (yes) - 48% (no).
The President also appears to be losing ground on the question of whether the overall "tone and level of civility" in Washington has improved. While 52% thought the tone was improving in early May, as of early August the number was 42%. The number thinking that the tone had worsened grew from 24% to 35%.
No surprise, the younger a person is, the more likely he or she is to believe that the President and his Administration are creating a "new spirit of idealism."
Age |
Yes | No |
18-29 years | 71% | 27% |
30-49 years | 60 | 38 |
50-64 years | 56 | 42 |
65+ years | 46 | 47 |
Gallup 9/09 |
There is one area in which confidence in Obama has grown spectacularly during these first months of his Administration...in foreign countries.
In a PEW survey of 21 countries, confidence in President Bush during the last year of his Administration was 21%. Confidence in Obama is at 71%.
Here are some examples of the changes in confidence. Only in Israel, among the 21 countries, is confidence lower in Obama than Bush, if only by 1 point.
Bush 2008 | Obama 2009 | |
Germany | 14% | 93% |
France | 13% | 91% |
Britain | 16% | 86% |
Brazil | 17% | 76% |
Argentina | 7% | 61% |
Indonesia | 23% | 71% |
Mexico | 16% | 55% |
Nigeria | 55% | 88% |
China | 30% | 62% |
Kenya | 72% | 94% |
Russia | 22% | 37% |
Lebanon | 33% | 46% |
Israel | 57% | 56% |