Mike Berman’s Washington Watch

September 25, 2012 3:00 PM

Right Track/Wrong Track & Unemployment

The schedule: 41 days until the election



October 3, 2012 1st Presidential Debate – Denver, CO
October 11, 2012 Vice Presidential Debate – Danville, KY
October 16, 2012 2nd Presidential Debate – Hempstead, NY
October 22, 2012 3rd Presidential Debate – Boca Raton, FL
November 6, 2012 Election Day


Post-Labor Day and the Party conventions, there has been an appreciable uptick in the number of Americans who think the country is going in the right direction as opposed to being on the wrong track.

Right direction scores through mid-September range from 38-41%. The high point of the year up until now was 34%.

Last Date Poll Right Direction Wrong Track
9/17 AP/GfK 41 32
9/16 NBC/WSJ 39 55
9/12 CBS/NYT 38 57
8/25 WP/ABC 29 69
8/20 NBC/WSJ 32 61
8/9 Pol/GW/BG 32 61
7/22 NBC/WSJ 32 60
7/16 CBS/NYT 30 64
7/8 ABC/WP 33 63
6/24 NBC/WSJ 31 61


The unemployment rate seems to be slowly inching downward. As of mid- September the unadjusted rate of unemployment is 7.9%, which is the lowest it has been since Gallup began collecting unemployment data in January 2010. [Note: The adjusted rate produced by Gallup matches very closely that which is produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.]

  BLS* Gallup**
  (Adjusted)  
August 8.1% 16.6%
July 8.3% 17.1%
June 8.2% 17.3%
May 8.2% 18.0%
April 8.1% 18.2%
March 8.2% 18.0%
February 8.3% 19.1%
January 8.3% 18.7%
Average 2011 9.0% 18.7%
Average 2010 9.6% 18.8%
Average 2009 9.3%  


*Seasonally adjusted rate/Bureau of Labor Statistics

**Gallup combines an unadjusted unemployed rate with those who are working part-time but want full-time employment.



Return to Home Page