October 26, 2012 11:56 AM
The Electoral College
Here are cuts at the Electoral College that WW will regularly reprint as wehead toward the Presidential election. 270 Electoral votes are needed to win.| Cook 10/25 | Rothenberg 10/12 | Wash Post 10/6 | Sabatto 10/18 | RCP 10/25 | |
| Solid/Likely Dem | 237 | 237 | 196 | -- | 183 |
| Lean Dem | 6 | 32 | 59 | -- | 18 |
| Total | 243 | 269 | 255 | 267 | 201 |
| Toss Up | 89 | 63 | 77 | 36 | 146 |
| Lean GOP | 15 | 15 | 36 | -- | 14 |
| Solid/Likely GOP | 191 | 191 | 170 | -- | 177 |
| Total | 206 | 206 | 206 | 235 | 191 |
A friend whose judgement WW trusts, puts great faith in the InTrade Prediction Market. His view is that thousands of gamblers have a pretty good handle on what is going on in the country.
As of 10/25/12, the price per share being bid for Obama shares is $6.20, while the bid price for Romney shares is $3.80.
| 4/26 | 8/15 | 9/20 | 10/9 | 10/22 | 10/25 | |
| Barack Obama | 60.2 | 56.7 | 69.4 | 61 | 60 | 62% |
| Romney | 38.2 | 42.3 | 30.5 | 39.1 | 39.5 | 38% |
