Mike Berman’s Washington Watch

September 10, 2015 11:58 AM


Currently, 82% of Americans disapprove of the job being done by Congress, while 14% approve. This represents a tiny change since a year ago, when 83% disapproved and 13% approved.

The House

While it is early in the cycle, prospects for the Democrats regaining control of the U.S. House are dismal. There has been little change since the May Watch. (As usual, The Cook Political Report is the source of the data below.)

  • Democrats 188
  • Republicans 246
  • Vacancy 1

  Democrats Republicans
Safe in 2016 169 208
Leaning 15 26
Toss-ups Democrats Republicans
  4 13

The Senate

It is still too early to get a good handle on whether the Republicans will retain their majority in the U.S. Senate. At the moment, it appears more likely than not that they will do so.

It is likely that the number of Super PACs supporting Senate candidates, and the amount of money they will spend, will grow exponentially this cycle. [This relatively new fundraising vehicle is also showing up in gubernatorial campaigns.]

  • Republicans 54
  • Democrats 44
  • Independents 2

  Democrats Republicans
Seats not up in 2016 36 30
Safe in 2016 8 17
Leaning in 2016 2 3
Total 46 50
Toss-ups Democrats Republicans




Johnson (WI)


Toomey (PA)

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