June 17, 2016 11:58 AM
2016 Election
25% of Americans have an unfavorable view of both the Republican and Democratic parties. [Pew 4/28/16]Currently, 78% of Americans disapprove of the job being done by Congress while 14% approve. [CBS/NYT4/12/16]
Americans disapprove of the job being done by Democrats in Congress by 63% to 31%. They disapprove of the job being done by Republicans in Congress by 80% to 12%. [Quinnipiac 5/24/16]
44% of Americans would prefer a Republican-controlled Congress. 48% of Americans would prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress. [NBC/WSJ 5/15-19]
In mid-2014, 36% of Republicans saw the Democratic Party as a threat to the nation’s well-being and 27% of Democrats saw the Republican Party as a threat to the nation’s well-being. [Pew 6/12/14]
[The WW relies on the Cook Political Report for the congressional data below.]
The House
- Democrats 188
- Republicans 246
- Vacancy 1
| Democrats | Republicans | |
| Safe in 2016 | 175 | 203 |
| Likely | 6 | 11 |
| Lean | 3 | 14 |
| Toss-ups | Democrats | Republicans |
| 4 | 19 | |
The Senate
It seems likely that the Democrats will pick up at least two seats. Others who follow the Senate suggest that the Democrats could win enough seats to flip control of the Senate.- Republicans 54
- Democrats 44
- Independents 2
| Democrats | Republicans | |
| Seats not up in 2016 | 36 | 30 |
| Safe in 2016 | 8 | 15 |
| Leaning in 2016 | 1 Bennett |
4 Burr Blunt McCain Indiana |
| Total | 45 | 49 |
| Toss-ups | Democrats | Republicans |
| Nevada | Johnson Florida Ayotte Portman Toomey |
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